Every/Berliner

Who’s ahead where?

All 78 Wahlkreise, coloured by the party with the most second votes: the 2023 result as a fact, and a poll-adjusted estimate for now, clearly labelled. Tap a Wahlkreis for the full numbers.

Second votes of the repeat election of 12 February 2023, recalculated by the statistics office onto the 2026 boundaries.

  • CDU leads in 51
  • GRÜNE leads in 23
  • AfD leads in 2
  • Die Linke leads in 2
  • close race (gap under 5 points)

Tap or focus a Wahlkreis to see its numbers.

Estimate now

Estimate: each party’s 2023 share in the Wahlkreis, scaled by its statewide poll movement since 2023. Not a local poll. Margin of error about ±3 points.

  • CDU leads in 29
  • Die Linke leads in 27
  • AfD leads in 14
  • GRÜNE leads in 8
  • close race (gap under 5 points)

Tap or focus a Wahlkreis to see its numbers.

How to read this

  • The map shows second votes (Zweitstimmen), which decide the seat shares. The direct mandate of a Wahlkreis is decided by first votes, which the 2026-boundary dataset does not provide, so this is not a prediction of who wins the direct seat.
  • Estimate: 2023 share in the Wahlkreis × (statewide poll average now ÷ statewide result 2023) per party, then scaled to 100. Same arithmetic for every party. The poll average is the latest poll from each institute within 30 days of the newest one.
  • The dataset lists CDU, SPD, Grüne, Linke, AfD and FDP separately; every other party, including BSW and Volt, is inside “others”. Lighter fill means the gap between first and second is under 5 points.
  • Party colours are the conventional ones used by German media, applied with the same rule to every party.

Data as of 2026-10-25